MIÉ 27 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2024 - 09:40hs.
Analysis by Veja magazine

Sports betting: Billions in revenue that Bolsonaro’s government should lose in the World Cup

With no time to regularize the sports betting market until Qatar 2022, the Brazilian government has already lost the chance to earn a hefty sum with the revenue generated by the activity. It is estimated that the regulation generates around R$ 3 billion (US$ 585m) a year to the country's coffers, in addition to R$ 2 billion (US$ 390m) for the sale of operating licenses. It is estimated that the World Cup alone moves more than R$ 20 billion (US$ 3.9b) in bets in the country

On the eve of the World Cup to be held in Qatar, between November and December this year, the government of Jair Bolsonaro decided to shelve the decree implementing Law 13,756/18, which regulates the sports betting market in the country.

The postponement of the measure, according to Palace sources, has to do with the timing of the election, as the president fears losing support from the evangelical class by endorsing the practice of gambling.

With no time to regularize the market until the event, the government has already lost the chance to earn a hefty sum with the revenue generated by the activity. It is estimated that the regulation generates around R$ 3 billion (US$ 585m) a year to the country's coffers, in addition to R$ 2 billion (US$ 390m) for the sale of operating licenses.

Approved in 2018, during the government of Michel Temer, the law aims, above all, to curb the evasion of foreign exchange. As several betting sites are based outside Brazil -most of them in countries considered as "tax havens"-, taxation on games is considered insignificant compared to what it should be for a market with an estimated turnover of R$ 7 billion (US$ 1.35b) and movement of approximately R$ 60 billion (US$ 11.7b).

The law would have two years extended for another two years to become a practice with rules stipulated by the government. That deadline ends in December this year, which will leave the market in legal limbo.

Apart from that, the lack of supervision makes it easier for new companies to operate freely in the country - not all, however, necessarily serious, which ends up facilitating bad deeds, fraud involving gamblers and, as a consequence, generating insecurity, including legal ones.

In view of this scenario, a study group was prepared together with the PPI (Investment Partnership Program), the PND (National Privatization Program) and the BNDES, which managed a provisional measure that provides for market penalties. The text was passed on to the Ministry of the Civil House and is now awaiting Bolsonaro's sanction.

We are basically talking about penalizing an existing informality, protecting the gambler and preventing the evasion of foreign exchange. What we see today is bad for Brazilian society,” says André Gelfi, managing partner of the Betsson group in Brazil. “It is an activity that already moves 60 billion reais in the country, which has no rules and, until now, has been neglected by the public authorities. This is the size of the debacle,” he adds.

It is estimated that the World Cup alone moves more than R$ 20 billion (US$ 3.9b) in bets in the country. The government's inaction on the subject means that little (or almost none) of this amount is taxed and generates resources for the Union's funds.

The collection during the World Cup would be three times higher than the average. The government will lose this collection, because there is no more time to do this until then. If the regulation does not take place by its deadline, in December, the control bodies will pressure the government to understand what happened and hold the managers involved in the case accountable,” says a source with knowledge of the subject.

Outside the law, in hiding, gamblers have already been the target of corruption, bribes and searches and seizures. The government holds the fate of this market in its own hands.

Source: Veja