The clubs that head the list of likely relegated according to Betfair traders are Cuiabá, currently seventeenth placed, and Coritiba, nineteenth. Both teams have 18% (odd of 1.25 – if the bettor places 1 real in bets on the team, if there is a drop, the return will be R$1.25) of chances of playing in the Série B in 2024. Goiás, the team from the Brazilian Midwest is the third candidate with 14% (1.67), while América Mineiro is the possible fourth and last relegated with 13% (1.73).
The trend among bettors on the Betfair website indicates a difference in relation to the study of traders at the bookmaker. In terms of bettors, Coritiba leads in the volume of bets for relegation with 14%, followed by Santos with 13%. Cuiabá is in third with 12%, Goiás and Cruzeiro appear with 11% in the site's betting volume.
Which clubs Brazilians are betting on for relegation to Série B on Betfair website
1. Coritiba - 14%
2. Santos - 13%
3. Cuiabá - 12%
4. Goiás e Cruzeiro - 11% (each)
5. São Paulo - 7%
6. Bahia e Red Bull Bragantino 6% (each)
7. Atlético Mineiro 4%
8. América Mineiro e Flamengo 3% (each)
Traditional clubs are at risk of relegation, points out Betfair
Betfair's analysis highlights that, in addition to Coritiba, Cuiabá, América Mineiro and Goiás, some traditional clubs in Brazil also have a high percentage of chances of relegation. Bahia, champion of the 1990 Brazilian Championship, has a 7% chance (3.0) and Corinthians, seven times champion of the Brasileirão, has a 6% chance (3.6) of ending the year in Série B.
Even with a high volume of bets on the side of the fans, Santos appears with less chance of relegation in the analysis of Betfair: there are 5% for the ‘Baixada Santista’ club to fall, the same value as Red Bull Bragantino. Vasco's team, which has suffered four relegations in its history, has a 3% (5.0) chance of falling again.
With less chances appear Grêmio, Cruzeiro, Internacional, São Paulo, Fortaleza, Athletico Paranaense, Botafogo and Atlético Mineiro with percentages between 2% and 1%.
On the other side of the table, Palmeiras, Flamengo and Fluminense are the teams with the lowest probability of falling according to Betfair's analysis. The ‘Alviverde’ leads the chances of remaining in the first division with a mathematical probability of 0.01% of chances of relegation this year, followed by Flamengo and Fluminense with only 0.02%.
If the bettor places one real for each of the clubs to be relegated, the fan would take R$501 if Palmeiras falls, for Flamengo to relegate, it would be R$276 and R$201 with the fall of Flu.
Betfair ranking with relegation odds for Serie B in 2024
1. Coritiba e Cuiabá - 18% (each)
2. Goiás - 14%
3. América Mineiro - 13%
4. Bahia - 7%
5. Corinthians - 6%
6. Santos e Bragantino - 5% (each)
7. Vasco - 3%
8. Grêmio - 2%
9. Cruzeiro - 2%
10. Internacional - 1.5%
11. São Paulo - 1,5%
12. Fortaleza - 1%
13. Athletico Paranaense - 1%
14. Botafogo - 1%
15. Atlético Mineiro - 0,05%
16. Fluminense - 0,02%
17. Flamengo - 0,02%
18. Palmeiras - 0,01%
One of the largest online sports betting providers in the world, Betfair is the official sponsor of the Cruzeiro and Palmeiras teams. The company, founded in London in 2000, pioneered the provision of peer-to-peer betting (Betfair Exchange) and manages a complete suite of sports betting, entertainment events and online gaming products for more than four million of customers over 18 worldwide.
Thanks to its state-of-the-art technology, the platform offers a wide catalog of products that allows you to bet with your own odds and odds offered by other users. Betfair is licensed to operate online betting and other gaming in 19 countries including Spain, Italy, Malta, Colombia and Great Britain.
Source: GMB
