The publication of Provisional Measure (PM)1,182/23 by the Federal Government raised the alarm in the global iGaming industry about the viability of the Brazilian market, with the potential to be the largest regulated market on the planet. And the reason was not just the 18% tax on GGR (gross profit), which came in higher than expected.
Despite the high percentage, what also concerns companies in the sector is the government's attempt to promote the narrative that 18% represents the total Brazilian tax burden and that it will be similar to that of England, a country considered a reference for the sector around the world. "This version of the facts generated a certain embarrassment, since many of these companies, some of which are publicly traded, operate in England and know that this is not true. The Brazilian tax burden will be at least 350% higher than the English one in the way it was presented," clarifies Andre Gelfi, president of the Brazilian Institute of Responsible Gambling.
Below are the main points for the comparison between the Brazilian regulation and the English one:
These three points show part of the difference between the tax burdens of Brazil and the United Kingdom. In a fair comparison, while the UK taxes 15% of the operator's GGR, the Brazilian rate would be between 45% and 73% (depending on the volume of the operation).
In addition, it is imperative to inform that the United Kingdom already has a mature market, with decades of existence. In Brazil, all companies will literally be betting on the country, as it is also necessary to test other aspects that will define the sector's sustainability, such as commitment to combating the online and physical parallel market, relationship between regulator and operators, advertising rules, among others themes.
When the government takes more than 30% of gross gaming revenue, it triggers a host of unintended consequences. Given this scenario, the trend is that only a few global companies, accustomed to operating with small margins in competitive markets, choose to test the Brazilian market. The different models of regulation in the world show that the Brazilian option will have a devastating impact on sports clubs and entities, media groups, digital entrepreneurs and the government itself.
Less companies and lower revenues mean less sponsorships and less supply (competition). This is reflected in paid advertising from the biggest national advertisers to the smallest blog or social media personality. A reduced number of licensed operators, able to advertise, will bring an abrupt reduction in revenue, collapsing the entire sports media ecosystem, as it significantly restricts the capital contribution made to football clubs through sponsorships.
And the bad news doesn't stop there. Higher taxes will cause customers to opt to gamble on unlicensed sites. The high operating cost will not allow companies based in Brazil to offer the same odds/odds that bettors are used to and that they can obtain on illegal sites in Brazil or abroad.
By encouraging the parallel market, the government decimates its own collection, loses control over sporting integrity and money laundering. Incidentally, it is important to note that unlike the United Kingdom, Brazil will levy 30% IRPF on player winnings above R$ 2,112 (US$ 445) already withheld from the payment of the bet. Studies have concluded that this amount represents, on average, another 11% of the GGR that will go to the government.
Individually and collectively, all IBJR member companies have requested and encouraged Brazil's speed in its regulatory process. In other words, this group representing more than 50 different licenses on the planet has been asking the government to pay taxes in Brazil, as they already do in other countries.
Finally, the Institute reiterates its full support for a total tax composition equivalent to that of the United Kingdom. And it does so not only because it believes that this is the best model for the sustainable development of the iGaming production chain in Brazil, but also to warn of the risk of an instantaneous disruption of the flow of resources that has helped to irrigate the sports ecosystem in the country.
*GGR stands for “Gross Gaming Revenue”. In a formula: from the sum of the wagered amounts is deducted the sum of the total amounts paid in winnings to the players. What remains (retained by the operator), is GGR.
Source: IBJR