New York is considered one of the five American states with the largest Brazilian population in the United States. In the metropolitan area alone, it’s estimated that around 400,000 Brazilians reside there, making 46th Street between 6th and 7th Avenue known as “Little Brazil” in the U.S. According to Brazilians residing in the area, there is a trend of favorable votes for Donald Trump in the November 5th election.
Savu Savulescu, a 47-year-old Brazilian who has lived in the city since childhood, says his vote in this election will be for Donald Trump. “I was born in Rio, but I grew up here in Queens. I am very grateful to the United States for welcoming me so well. Regarding the elections, I don’t have a prediction of what will happen. I’m a bit worried. I think there’s a lot of fraud. My vote is for Donald Trump. Donald Trump, for sure.”
When asked by Betfair about the candidates' immigration policies, Brazilians expressed concern about the issue, but not in the way one might expect. According to João Carlos, 61: “immigration in recent years is totally out of control.” For Corina Brasil, 61, this increase in immigration has been a real problem for U.S. residents. “It causes violence, people who have no reason to be here,” she says.
Sérgio Lago, 57, points out that both Trump and Kamala might struggle to rebuild the U.S. economy. “I can’t give you an opinion on who will win the election. We are in such a mess that we don’t know where the economy of this country will go in the next seven or eight months. We have a high debt. Honestly, I don’t think either candidate can fix the problem America has now,” Lago commented to Betfair.
Carlos Rocha, 62, and João Carlos, who have lived in the U.S. for over 20 years, say that the main issue for those currently living in the United States is high inflation. “Certainly, balancing the American economy is one of the most necessary things for us here in the U.S. Inflation is very high here right now,” Rocha evaluated.
João Carlos notices the difference when refueling and grocery shopping. “Gasoline has gone up a lot, grocery prices have gone up a lot, prices have increased a lot recently.”
Eliene Dias, 46, says that many Brazilians are expected to vote for Donald Trump on November 5th: “From what I see here, the majority of Brazilians will vote for Trump.” However, Agnaldo Rosa, 53, offers a different perspective, “I’m a Democrat, Brazilians are Democrats,” he says. He also believes that the election outcome is essentially decided: “It’s already determined, but who will win is a surprise,” he adds.
To watch the complete video of interviews with Brazilians in New York, visit Betfair’s YouTube channel.
As in the past 180 years, the U.S. presidential elections will take place on the first Tuesday (the 5th) of November. Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris are in a close race for the White House, vying to lead the world’s largest economy over the next four years (2025-2028).
How are the odds looking on Betfair?
On the Betfair platform, the former Republican president leads with higher odds of winning. Donald Trump has odds of 1.57 (63% chance) against the current vice president's odds of 2.78 (37% chance) — remember, the lower the odds, the higher the probability of that outcome.
How are Brazilians betting?
In Brazil alone, over R$3.8 million (US$ 665m) has been wagered on Betfair, making Brazil the eighth country worldwide betting the most on the U.S. elections.
Betfair data also shows that Brazilian bettors largely prefer Trump and believe strongly in his return to the White House according to the platform’s market. Betfair’s consolidated data from 2024 reflects a significant preference for Trump, with approximately R$1.87 million (US$ 325,000) bet on the former president and only R$342,000 (US$ 59,700) on the Democrat. This aligns with the global trend showing Trump with around R$100 million (US$ 17.45m) more in bets than Kamala Harris. It’s noteworthy that Harris only announced her candidacy at the end of July, compared to Trump, who has been campaigning all year.
Brazil ranks as the fifth country betting the most on a Trump victory. On October 7, the Republican candidate received around R$105,000 (US$ 18,300) in bets in Brazil. On the same day, Trump overtook the odds and became the White House favorite.
U.S. elections draw over R$890 million (US$ 155m) in bets
Betfair’s U.S. election markets show that bettors worldwide have wagered more than R$890 million (US$ 155m). Among Brazilian bettors alone, around R$3.8 million (US$ 665m) has been wagered on the platform so far.
Betfair
One of the world’s largest online sports betting providers, Betfair is the official sponsor of Brazilian teams Cruzeiro and Vasco da Gama.
Founded in London in 2000, the company pioneered peer-to-peer betting (Betfair Exchange) and manages a full suite of sports betting, entertainment events, and online gaming products for over four million clients aged 18 and older worldwide.
Thanks to its cutting-edge technology, the platform offers an extensive catalog allowing users to bet with their own odds or those offered by other users.
Betfair is licensed to operate online betting and other gaming in 19 countries, including Spain, Italy, Malta, and Great Britain. Play responsibly.
Source: GMB
